Carrington event which is a massive plasma flare from the sun could hit the earth in the next decade

Startling paper by Pete Riley on the possibility of  massive solar flare, or Carrington event happening-

Key Points

  • Probability of a Carrington event occurring      over next decade is ~12%
  • Space physics datasets often display a      power-law distribution
  • Power-law distribution can be exploited to      predict extreme events

Pete Riley

Predictive Science,San Diego,California,USA

This paper predicts a one in eight chance of a massive plasma solar flare from the sun could hit the earth in the next decade. Such an event known as a Carrington event could destroy electricity grids worldwide. The Carrington event causes high currents to flow on large grids and can destroy transformers. The last major event was is 1859.

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011SW000734.shtml